Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for FC Arouca and GD Estoril Praia. As you see in the Delta figure, GD Estoril Praia is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes the guest team GD Estoril Praia as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis calculate GD Estoril Praia as the favourite and FC Arouca as the underdog. However, it is also important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on GD Estoril Praia or if the odds are not high enough and one has to take a risk bet on the opponent FC Arouca or bet the draw.
In comparison to the model odds, the current market odds offer a fair risk-reward ratio for a bet on the away team. It is recommended to bet on GD Estoril Praia with current market odds of 5.2. Please be adviced to take a bet only if your bookmaker offers odds larger than 2.14 for GD Estoril Praia.