Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for S.C. Covilhã and Leixões S.C. As you see in the Delta figure, S.C. Covilhã is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes S.C. Covilhã as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis come to the same conclusion and determine S.C. Covilhã as the favourite and Leixões S.C as the underdog. However, it is now important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on S.C. Covilhã or if the odds are high enough to take a risk bet on the opponent Leixões S.C or consider to bet on a draw.
Based on the current market odds, in comparison to the model odds, the home team offers a fair risk-reward ratio. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on S.C. Covilhã with market odds of currently 2.54. Please make sure to buy a bet with odds not smaller than 1.95.