Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for CD Cova da Piedade and Académica de Coimbra. As you see in the Delta figure, Académica de Coimbra is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes the guest team Académica de Coimbra as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis calculate Académica de Coimbra as the favourite and CD Cova da Piedade as the underdog. However, it is also important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on Académica de Coimbra or if the odds are not high enough and one has to take a risk bet on the opponent CD Cova da Piedade or bet the draw.
In comparison to the model odds, the current market odds offer a fair risk-reward ratio for a bet on the away team. It is recommended to bet on Académica de Coimbra with current market odds of 5.5. Please be adviced to take a bet only if your bookmaker offers odds larger than 2.02 for Académica de Coimbra.