Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for ES Troyes AC and AC Ajaccio. As you see in the Delta figure, ES Troyes AC is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes ES Troyes AC as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis come to the same conclusion and determine ES Troyes AC as the favourite and AC Ajaccio as the underdog. However, it is now important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on ES Troyes AC or if the odds are high enough to take a risk bet on the opponent AC Ajaccio or consider to bet on a draw.
Based on the current market odds, in comparison to the model odds, the home team offers a fair risk-reward ratio. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on ES Troyes AC with market odds of currently 2.83. Please make sure to buy a bet with odds not smaller than 1.55.