Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for Swansea City and Middlesbrough FC. As you see in the Delta figure, Middlesbrough FC is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes the guest team Middlesbrough FC as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis calculate Middlesbrough FC as the favourite and Swansea City as the underdog. However, it is also important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on Middlesbrough FC or if the odds are not high enough and one has to take a risk bet on the opponent Swansea City or bet the draw.
In comparison to the model odds, the current market odds offer a fair risk-reward ratio for a bet on the away team. It is recommended to bet on Middlesbrough FC with current market odds of 3.34. Please be adviced to take a bet only if your bookmaker offers odds larger than 2.64 for Middlesbrough FC.