Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for 1. FC Saarbrücken and FC 08 Homburg. As you see in the Delta figure, 1. FC Saarbrücken is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes 1. FC Saarbrücken as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis come to the same conclusion and determine 1. FC Saarbrücken as the favourite and FC 08 Homburg as the underdog. However, it is now important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on 1. FC Saarbrücken or if the odds are high enough to take a risk bet on the opponent FC 08 Homburg or consider to bet on a draw.
Based on the current market odds, in comparison to the model odds, the home team offers a fair risk-reward ratio. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on 1. FC Saarbrücken with market odds of currently 2.09. Please make sure to buy a bet with odds not smaller than 1.74.