Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FC Nürnberg. As you see in the Delta figure, VfL Wolfsburg is calculated as the strongest team.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes VfL Wolfsburg as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis come to the same conclusion and determine VfL Wolfsburg as the favourite and 1. FC Nürnberg as the underdog. However, it is now important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on VfL Wolfsburg or if the odds are high enough to take a risk bet on the opponent 1. FC Nürnberg or consider to bet on a draw.
Based on the current market odds, in comparison to the model odds, the home team offers a fair risk-reward ratio. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on VfL Wolfsburg with market odds of currently 1.58. Please make sure to buy a bet with odds not smaller than 1.35.