Let us start the analysis by checking the strength for Shenzhen FC and Jiangsu Suning FC. As you see in the Delta figure, both teams are almost equally strong.
The Poission calculation leads to winning probabilities, which computes Shenzhen FC as the favourite in this match.
ODDS & VALUE
Both, the Strength- and the Poisson-analysis come to the same conclusion and determine Shenzhen FC as the favourite and Jiangsu Suning FC as the underdog. However, it is now important to check whether the market offers fair odds to bet on Shenzhen FC or if the odds are high enough to take a risk bet on the opponent Jiangsu Suning FC or consider to bet on a draw.
Based on the current market odds, in comparison to the model odds, the home team offers a fair risk-reward ratio. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on Shenzhen FC with market odds of currently 3.19. Please make sure to buy a bet with odds not smaller than 1.98.